PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBA4e0CB8b850e355

0x3e7cf2d5848967f1236390c9fab193729e315e90

Realised P&L
$-78.98
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$16.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Lions vs Bills game? · Yes0.4300.910$9.04+$4.77
Will the announcers say "Wind" or "Windy" during the Lions vs Bills game? · Yes0.7000.805$3.89+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.5500.460$2.04$0.40
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.4400.315$1.72$0.68
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 17? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:51Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17?SELL0.03$0.90
09-17 01:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?SELL0.0412503126$1.65