0xBA4e0CB8b850e355
0x3e7cf2d5848967f1236390c9fab193729e315e90
- Realised P&L
- $-78.98
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $16.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Lions vs Bills game? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.910 | $9.04 | +$4.77 |
| Will the announcers say "Wind" or "Windy" during the Lions vs Bills game? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.805 | $3.89 | +$0.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.460 | $2.04 | −$0.40 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.315 | $1.72 | −$0.68 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 17? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.620Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.731Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$-0.25at 0.628Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$-0.32at 0.507Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$-0.74at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 01:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.0412503126 | $1.65 |