dumber
0x3e7c4ba03347d27c2e4803ccc16ce08193b2596c
- Realised P&L
- $-14.0k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 568
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded568
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.310U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
- +$3.4kat 0.462Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
- +$3.4kat 0.366Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
- +$2.1kat 0.580Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.138Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:41 | Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.43 |
| 08-03 07:43 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3342065531 | $249.29 |
| 08-03 04:35 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2961946167 | $203.03 |
| 08-01 02:07 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1832022161 | $66.14 |
| 07-31 04:53 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1494237856 | $121.23 |
| 07-31 04:50 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3181218451 | $54.83 |
| 07-30 10:54 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3340866551 | $192.77 |
| 07-29 10:53 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.111 | $133.20 |
| 07-29 01:47 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3662083333 | $123.05 |
| 07-28 22:46 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.16 |
| 07-28 22:19 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 07-28 22:18 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.20 |
| 07-28 22:16 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2663043478 | $12.25 |
| 07-28 22:15 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.391 | $31.28 |
| 07-28 22:15 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3347974474 | $141.65 |