dumber
0x3e7c4ba03347d27c2e4803ccc16ce08193b2596c
- Realised P&L
- $-16.2k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 626
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded626
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.310U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
- +$3.4kat 0.462Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.373Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
- +$2.1kat 0.580Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.138Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 06:41 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.36 | $108.00 |
| 09-26 22:16 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.29 |
| 09-26 22:16 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0154950528 | $6.91 |
| 09-26 22:15 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $7.53 |
| 09-26 22:15 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0090332031 | $2.98 |
| 09-26 22:15 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0083841154 | $2.71 |
| 09-26 22:14 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2773395913 | $71.79 |
| 09-26 22:13 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $5.01 |
| 09-26 22:12 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1702554023 | $24.82 |
| 09-24 00:46 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4183632254 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 07:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $137.77 |
| 09-22 22:01 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.133501139 | $29.30 |
| 09-21 22:12 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.51 |
| 09-21 22:11 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.79 |
| 09-20 06:04 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4499999984 | $100.00 |