josueuser
0x3e6c861ad0a13c8557940676b638e44d14a11c08
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $3.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.439 | 0.165 | $3.64 | −$6.05 |
| La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo · Samy Rivers | 0.471 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.10 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX · Clersss | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$599.29at 0.573Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$279.52at 0.680Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?
- +$200.84at 0.599Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
- +$196.39at 0.544Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
- +$102.35at 0.186Will turnout be between 6.2 million and 6.6 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 08:40 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4393760769 | $9.69 |
| 07-25 18:33 | La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX | BUY | 0.5199998983 | $2.25 |
| 07-25 18:33 | La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX | BUY | 0.3770888464 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 18:31 | La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo | BUY | 0.4699999934 | $30.00 |
| 07-25 18:24 | La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo | BUY | 0.4760637415 | $4.10 |
| 06-17 18:56 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.54 |
| 06-17 17:30 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.9199998972 | $8.23 |
| 06-17 01:25 | Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 20:49 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-16 19:40 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 19:29 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.80 |
| 06-16 19:22 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 19:48 | Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.084 | $1.53 |
| 06-14 22:34 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 17:38 | Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0829999292 | $1.00 |