ahms
0x3e6b98d9dac15f285a18a02644a8c900aab58a98
- Realised P&L
- $-11.6k
- Volume
- $4.03M
- Markets traded
- 31,443
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded31,443
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Nets | 0.490 | 0.925 | $188.69 | +$88.74 |
| Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5) · Club Universitario de Deportes | 0.405 | 1.000 | $108.92 | +$64.74 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.663 | 0.685 | $105.74 | +$3.35 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) · Lakers | 0.510 | 0.535 | $104.86 | +$4.90 |
| AD Cali vs. Boyacá Chicó FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.580 | 1.000 | $103.35 | +$43.38 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) · Raptors | 0.480 | 0.465 | $102.59 | −$3.31 |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.490 | 1.000 | $101.95 | +$51.97 |
| Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5) · Operário Ferroviário EC | 0.600 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$39.96 |
| Spread: Warriors (-2.5) · Warriors | 0.490 | 0.465 | $94.86 | −$5.10 |
| Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.570 | 1.000 | $91.26 | +$39.22 |
| Spread: AD Cali (-1.5) · AD Cali | 0.555 | 1.000 | $80.76 | +$35.92 |
| Club Guabirá vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.555 | 1.000 | $80.76 | +$35.92 |
| Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-31? · No | 0.650 | 1.000 | $76.86 | +$26.88 |
| Will New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw? · No | 0.770 | 0.775 | $75.48 | +$0.49 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.680 | 1.000 | $73.46 | +$23.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$847.55at 0.485Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-08?
- +$528.65at 0.490Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-09-05?
- +$509.04at 0.440Will Watford FC win on 2026-09-08?
- +$474.17at 0.520Blue Jackets vs. Flyers
- +$430.94at 0.515Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:41 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.41 | $9.31 |
| 11-01 21:30 | Will Quilmes AC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.83 | $38.68 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will San Martin de Tucuman win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.73 | $40.15 |
| 10-31 03:30 | Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 16:26 | Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.98 |
| 10-28 23:42 | Will Atletico Tucuman win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-28 13:28 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.44 | $24.99 |
| 10-27 14:19 | Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $4.26 |
| 10-26 21:25 | Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.477 | $99.36 |
| 10-26 19:00 | Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.38 |
| 10-26 12:07 | Will Riga FC win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.24 |
| 10-25 22:03 | Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $52.90 |
| 10-25 22:01 | Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $99.96 |
| 10-25 00:07 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.28 |
| 10-24 17:55 | Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.05 |