0x3E61dECb43f8B0A9dB21f0Faa4a9C51F05012869-1764668364502
0x3e61decb43f8b0a9db21f0faa4a9c51f05012869
- Realised P&L
- $-194.58
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $15.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.029 | $6.99 | −$34.01 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.043 | $4.43 | −$11.92 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.026 | $4.42 | −$35.58 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.33at 0.360Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-14 18:25 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.35 |
| 01-05 15:57 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.169999997 | $41.00 |
| 12-31 09:15 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999964 | $40.00 |
| 12-10 09:04 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BUY | 0.2999999769 | $6.50 |
| 12-09 18:41 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.0125511996 | $90.00 |
| 12-07 20:42 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |