Biznesbiznesbabkibabki
0x3e5c4abafc9bc12b07ad0f07bd24aa43b820d31e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.54
- Volume
- $416.97
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.095 | $1.12 | −$3.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down | 0.706 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.64at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$2.82at 0.584Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$2.46at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$2.42at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$2.42at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.4240631047 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.07 |
| 10-28 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $9.09 |
| 10-28 07:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.63 |
| 10-28 07:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3085190438 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $9.62 |
| 10-28 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |