LIONANDSUN
0x3e54d62985c60a4fea52a713f171da8bc9c16740
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $178.1k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $531.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.055 | $531.91 | −$2.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$724.27at 0.400Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$70.84at 0.917Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2PM ET
- +$65.08at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$42.55at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1PM ET
- +$41.01at 0.503Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 17:21 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.1206807476 | $45.83 |
| 05-10 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $16.45 |
| 05-10 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999818 | $25.00 |
| 05-10 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $3.16 |
| 05-10 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 16:58 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.0351636523 | $57.61 |
| 04-07 02:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.77 |
| 04-06 08:48 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.36 |
| 03-19 15:29 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $278.51 |
| 03-19 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.7219762369 | $281.34 |
| 03-19 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $246.04 |
| 03-19 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.6467173413 | $256.09 |
| 03-19 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6422038924 | $250.91 |
| 03-19 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.41 |
| 03-19 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $9.81 |