PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weathermess

0x3e3736fd7f2e8de60f72bfac5655cfafe7a0f8b6

Realised P&L
$87.76
Volume
$168.6k
Markets traded
531
Open portfolio
$686.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded531
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15? · Yes0.9871.000$686.85+$8.64
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 11? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$80.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · No0.9980.000$0.00−$558.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 14:31Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.9883613445$89.39
10-15 14:27Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.992$32.49
10-15 14:23Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.9920830102$112.58
10-15 13:53Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.98$49.00
10-15 13:52Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.9772506211$129.81
10-15 12:21Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 15?BUY0.9896316759$80.61
10-15 11:33Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 15?SELL0.999$4.85
10-15 11:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 15?SELL0.999$100.03
10-15 11:21Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 15?BUY0.998$104.77
10-15 03:51Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 15?BUY0.9866666667$14.80
10-14 16:41Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.32$800.00
10-14 16:26Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14?SELL0.999$105.68
10-14 15:58Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14?BUY0.944759462$99.95
10-14 13:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?BUY0.9899999991$999.95
10-14 13:21Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?BUY0.9758700345$90.40