souperman
0x3e357803bf5319c4d7f45d6e76da6750330c4f69
- Realised P&L
- $-19.2k
- Volume
- $232.8k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $18.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$630.81at 0.730Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$260.34at 0.650Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$135.41at 0.595Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$111.38at 0.477Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?
- +$100.59at 0.903Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 09:25 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5674464889 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 09:25 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.359999999 | $70.00 |
| 10-07 08:10 | Will FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 10-07 08:10 | Will FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.50 |
| 10-07 08:10 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5646035412 | $7.33 |
| 10-07 08:09 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5394926909 | $60.00 |
| 10-07 08:06 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.3410772727 | $15.01 |
| 10-07 08:05 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.24 |
| 10-07 08:01 | Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.12 | $240.00 |
| 10-06 06:16 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.0219991846 | $14.30 |
| 10-06 06:16 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.36 |
| 10-06 06:16 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.49 |
| 10-06 06:15 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.021 | $5.08 |
| 10-05 11:37 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.22 | $330.00 |
| 10-05 11:36 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.48 | $18.72 |