PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Saulvable

0x3e287751e34e1e87ea6398ff9b423061ee0d4983

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$205.3k
Markets traded
4,307
Open portfolio
$52.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,307
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8? · No0.4000.971$14.56+$8.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9? · No0.4870.580$10.90+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8? · Yes0.1960.165$8.43−$1.57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8? · Yes0.3390.300$7.95−$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9? · No0.4600.455$7.45−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8? · No0.5700.115$2.62−$10.38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on October 9? · Yes0.4190.018$0.42−$9.58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on October 9? · Yes0.0930.003$0.27−$9.73
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8? · No0.4260.001$0.02−$12.98
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8? · No0.4400.001$0.01−$12.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8? · No0.5800.001$0.01−$12.99
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 1? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$9.30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$5.85
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28? · No0.5180.000$0.00−$12.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 12:02Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?BUY0.5699999886$13.00
10-07 12:02Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8?BUY0.3394323288$9.00
10-07 12:02Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.5799999839$13.00
10-07 12:02Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8?BUY0.4399999932$13.00
10-07 12:02Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.4261255336$13.00
10-07 12:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?BUY0.4$6.00
10-07 11:09Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on October 9?BUY0.0931263853$10.00
10-07 11:09Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on October 9?BUY0.4189999903$10.00
10-07 07:25Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?BUY0.46$7.53
10-07 07:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9?BUY0.4871808511$9.16
10-07 06:50Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.5$6.00
10-07 06:50Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 7?BUY0.6464088362$9.00
10-07 05:56Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?BUY0.6099999831$13.00
10-07 04:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.634$3.17
10-07 03:09Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 7?BUY0.3599999874$8.00