kevin-airdrop
0x3e27b4fc18d61173110f6edb21e107bc34819890
- Realised P&L
- $31.3k
- Volume
- $4.75M
- Markets traded
- 1,155
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,155
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.908Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$3.1kat 0.636Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$2.5kat 0.783Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$2.3kat 0.892Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$2.2kat 0.478MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 14:55 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.956 | $1.6k |
| 05-11 23:53 | Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.992 | $793.60 |
| 05-11 23:52 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 05-08 04:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.28 | $112.00 |
| 05-04 14:02 | Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4000261028 | $76.62 |
| 05-03 23:26 | Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.96 | $232.72 |
| 05-03 23:26 | Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9499508139 | $435.32 |
| 05-03 23:10 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 05-02 15:20 | Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 04-30 07:25 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.3k |
| 04-30 06:13 | Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.961 | $768.80 |
| 04-30 06:13 | Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9571257593 | $757.88 |
| 04-30 06:13 | Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9482265807 | $1.4k |
| 04-30 01:07 | Space FDV above $15M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.953 | $46.69 |
| 04-29 13:02 | Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.99 | $175.30 |