rtuty4
0x3e251e9386399199fe2cac84b22cc1165b03568c
- Realised P&L
- $15.56
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $37.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.978 | 0.976 | $37.07 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36at 0.955Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?
- +$0.96at 0.975Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?
- +$0.95at 0.972Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?
- +$0.89at 0.973Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?
- +$0.80at 0.978Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.978 | $37.16 |
| 10-11 09:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.992 | $37.70 |
| 10-09 09:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9819999932 | $37.00 |
| 10-06 02:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.978 | $36.19 |
| 10-02 08:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $35.93 |
| 10-02 03:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $35.53 |
| 09-30 15:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.987 | $30.60 |
| 09-29 14:22 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 09-29 13:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | SELL | 0.994 | $34.79 |
| 09-29 02:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | BUY | 0.979 | $34.27 |
| 09-28 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.995 | $34.00 |
| 09-27 16:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.998 | $33.93 |
| 09-25 01:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.87 |
| 09-14 02:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.68 |
| 09-10 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.74 |