PolyBot

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Traders

musapilibanda

0x3e1a40f9a5f953e1b66e5c7c9fffe9e5ce515243

Realised P&L
$31.16
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00−$51.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) · Colombia0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00−$10.00
Michael Olise: 1+ goals · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$20.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
France leading at halftime? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Israel? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Michael Olise: 1+ goals · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 20:35Spread: Germany (-1.5)SELL0.09$22.50
09-24 14:16Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Israel?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
09-24 14:08Spread: Germany (-1.5)BUY0.2$50.00
09-24 14:00Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Denmark?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
08-06 18:28Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.996$237.63
08-05 21:07Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.7899999998$188.48
07-19 21:58Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-19 21:29Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.32$10.00
07-18 22:24Michael Olise: 1+ goalsBUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-15 20:28Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0974999957$20.00
07-09 20:06Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsBUY0.26$1.56
07-09 20:02France vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total CornersBUY0.24$1.50
07-07 20:12Spread: Colombia (-1.5)BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-07 17:45Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.5599999978$30.00
07-07 16:49Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?BUY0.0699999688$2.00