PolyBot

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Traders

0x3e105fda0e7a3b1bad425cfa1981c6ffedd40b9a

0x3e105fda0e7a3b1bad425cfa1981c6ffedd40b9a

Realised P&L
$9.9k
Volume
$417.2k
Markets traded
4,399
Open portfolio
$9.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,399
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20? · No0.9700.982$9.82+$0.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$2.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.2900.000$0.00−$11.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$0.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up0.2160.000$0.00−$10.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.0960.000$0.00−$0.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Down0.2350.000$0.00−$4.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.0440.000$0.00−$2.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$3.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Down0.0450.000$0.00−$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.4750.000$0.00−$19.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down0.2050.000$0.00−$4.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:02Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.59$29.50
10-20 08:01Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.59$11.80
10-20 08:01Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.45$9.00
10-20 07:52Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.5$0.99
10-20 07:51Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.44$8.80
10-20 07:50Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.5$10.00
10-20 07:50Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.65$13.00
10-20 07:49Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.38$7.60
10-20 07:45Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.46$9.20
10-20 07:44Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.42$21.00
10-20 07:44Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.46764$23.38
10-20 07:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.2$20.00
10-20 07:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.23$11.50
10-20 07:30Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?BUY0.97$9.70
10-20 07:26Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.6$12.00