roldy
0x3e04fbc51adb75418129f6ce2091ae633070564d
- Realised P&L
- $-82.9k
- Volume
- $26.74M
- Markets traded
- 4,170
- Open portfolio
- $25.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,170
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Commanders | 0.505 | 0.475 | $4.8k | −$300.07 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.590 | 0.730 | $3.6k | +$680.98 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Boston Red Sox | 0.490 | 0.560 | $3.4k | +$420.03 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.530 | 0.525 | $2.9k | −$27.77 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills | 0.530 | 0.565 | $2.7k | +$167.75 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.640 | 0.445 | $2.5k | −$1.1k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.450 | 0.495 | $2.2k | +$199.98 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) · Packers | 0.520 | 0.475 | $1.9k | −$179.99 |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) · Panthers | 0.491 | 0.535 | $982.29 | +$80.12 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.015 | $353.65 | −$85.10 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.539 | 0.550 | $139.19 | +$2.71 |
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.535 | $111.09 | +$1.04 |
| Stars vs. Blues · Blues | 0.479 | 0.475 | $91.25 | −$0.82 |
| Canucks vs. Kraken · Kraken | 0.582 | 0.575 | $85.10 | −$1.04 |
| Edmonton Elks vs. Toronto Argonauts · Edmonton Elks | 0.530 | 0.535 | $16.05 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.6kat 0.099Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$18.6kat 0.380Islanders vs. Lightning
- +$12.9kat 0.513Stars vs. Sabres
- +$11.3kat 0.488NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)
- +$10.9kat 0.520Flyers vs. Flames
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:56 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.64 | $711.04 |
| 09-16 22:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.64 | $711.04 |
| 09-16 22:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.64 | $2.1k |
| 09-16 20:13 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.47 | $185.95 |
| 09-16 20:11 | Canucks vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 09-16 20:10 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 09-16 20:10 | Stars vs. Blues | BUY | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 09-16 19:36 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $576.09 |
| 09-16 17:43 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $211.03 |
| 09-16 17:43 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $400.13 |
| 09-16 17:43 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-16 17:32 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $235.36 |
| 09-16 17:03 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $86.16 |
| 09-16 16:10 | Spread: Panthers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 09-16 15:14 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.59 | $1.6k |