roldy
0x3e04fbc51adb75418129f6ce2091ae633070564d
- Realised P&L
- $-78.7k
- Volume
- $29.08M
- Markets traded
- 4,683
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,683
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.6kat 0.099Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$19.9kat 0.484Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens
- +$18.6kat 0.380Islanders vs. Lightning
- +$12.9kat 0.513Stars vs. Sabres
- +$11.3kat 0.488NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:09 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.62 | $702.44 |
| 11-01 15:39 | Red Wings vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.38 | $338.45 |
| 11-01 12:46 | Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 11-01 01:59 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $1.2k |
| 10-31 23:05 | Penguins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.52 | $520.00 |
| 10-31 20:11 | Blue Jackets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.63 | $2.5k |
| 10-31 18:38 | Blue Jackets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.63 | $1.9k |
| 10-31 15:24 | Penguins vs. Canadiens | SELL | 0.52 | $4.2k |
| 10-31 14:49 | Penguins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.53 | $2.4k |
| 10-31 14:36 | Maple Leafs vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.63 | $41.97 |
| 10-31 14:35 | Oilers vs. Islanders | SELL | 0.49 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 11:55 | Maple Leafs vs. Canucks | SELL | 0.38 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 10:57 | Oilers vs. Islanders | SELL | 0.54 | $219.20 |
| 10-31 10:16 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $838.80 |
| 10-30 17:28 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $1.9k |