querk1234
0x3e029732597cde16be894588a1d06da0d1a0728c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.38
- Volume
- $968.89
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $14.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.175 | $9.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.250 | $2.78 | −$3.22 |
| Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $1.92 | −$0.38 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.024 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.60at 0.247Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-6.94at 0.111Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:36 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 00:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-25 22:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.691 | $7.17 |
| 10-17 03:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.49 |
| 10-17 02:58 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 02:56 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 10-11 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:37 | Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.30 |