rndcnm
0x3dfd418f1869e6ccf6156d04d31a7b03281d7284
- Realised P&L
- $-221.53
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $149.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.99at 0.032Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 3?
- +$124.57at 0.044Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 3?
- +$93.25at 0.371Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$23.20at 0.880Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
- +$18.00at 0.820Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 05:53 | NSÍ Runavík vs. Ħamrun Spartans FC: Ħamrun Spartans FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 03-13 06:52 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20? | BUY | 0.12 | $18.18 |
| 03-13 06:48 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20? | BUY | 0.12 | $16.49 |
| 03-12 05:37 | Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $83.16 |
| 03-11 05:23 | UC Sampdoria vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $79.04 |
| 03-02 09:20 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 5? | BUY | 0.045 | $10.94 |
| 02-28 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.041 | $14.46 |
| 02-20 15:59 | Will Emily Watson win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.022 | $3.54 |
| 02-18 17:01 | Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.21 |
| 02-17 20:07 | Will Iran record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.87 |
| 02-17 19:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.089 | $11.73 |
| 02-17 12:31 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 20? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.92 |
| 02-17 12:23 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 20? | BUY | 0.045 | $4.80 |
| 02-15 21:44 | Will Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.42 |
| 02-15 12:10 | Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? | BUY | 0.2782294919 | $41.89 |