PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185

0x3dfb153c197d4c19d3b31c1ecd2c7b6860eeabaf

Realised P&L
$-4.74M
Volume
$251.43M
Markets traded
3,706
Open portfolio
$317.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,706
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills0.4601.000$94.0k+$50.7k
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Under0.5101.000$50.0k+$24.5k
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Broncos0.5350.545$37.3k+$675.85
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5 · Over0.5330.545$32.9k+$713.06
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5 · Over0.5500.435$28.3k−$7.5k
Spread: Bills (-2.5) · Bills0.5601.000$25.5k+$11.2k
Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos0.4900.495$17.3k+$175.00
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 · Over0.4900.485$17.0k−$174.97
Ravens vs. Bills: 1H O/U 25.5 · Under0.4400.526$7.4k+$1.2k
Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown · Yes0.2800.250$5.7k−$683.38
Eagles vs. Commanders · Eagles0.2900.295$763.10+$12.93
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0290.015$487.80−$487.80
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · No0.2400.987$234.28+$177.31
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Bears0.5300.535$224.70+$2.10
Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5 · Under0.5000.505$200.64+$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:09Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5BUY0.55$821.70
11-01 16:10Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5BUY0.44$1.8k
11-01 08:14Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5BUY0.5$610.23
11-01 05:23Spread: Bills (-3.5)BUY0.46$24.2k
11-01 03:48Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 48.5BUY0.58$87.00
11-01 00:07Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)BUY0.5$9.80
10-31 23:35Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 55.5BUY0.53$7.1k
10-31 23:29Mississippi State vs. Texas: O/U 49.5BUY0.53$8.0k
10-31 23:28Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 55.5BUY0.53$2.9k
10-31 22:47Spread: Texas (-20.5)BUY0.51$17.74
10-31 20:16South Carolina vs. Oklahoma: O/U 43.5BUY0.54$2.4k
10-31 20:04Minnesota vs. Indiana: O/U 45.5BUY0.54$522.24
10-31 19:30Minnesota vs. Indiana: O/U 41.5BUY0.52$32.24
10-31 19:26Spread: Utah State (-10.5)BUY0.55$121.00
10-31 19:19Spread: Indiana (-20.5)BUY0.48$2.6k