0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185
0x3dfb153c197d4c19d3b31c1ecd2c7b6860eeabaf
- Realised P&L
- $-2.44M
- Volume
- $221.06M
- Markets traded
- 2,895
- Open portfolio
- $90.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,895
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State vs. Vanderbilt · Vanderbilt | 0.620 | 0.605 | $46.0k | −$1.1k |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.550 | $18.3k | +$333.09 |
| Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) · Baltimore Orioles | 0.370 | 1.000 | $17.9k | +$11.3k |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) · Titans | 0.530 | 0.535 | $4.4k | +$41.35 |
| Raiders vs. Chargers · Raiders | 0.270 | 0.275 | $1.1k | +$19.94 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.330 | $798.57 | −$508.18 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) · Wake Forest | 0.480 | 0.495 | $793.41 | +$24.05 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Miami Marlins | 0.440 | 0.635 | $724.84 | +$222.59 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · No | 0.240 | 0.985 | $233.81 | +$176.84 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5) · Wake Forest | 0.460 | 0.465 | $78.16 | +$0.84 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.001 | $3.07 | −$2.8k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.001 | $0.88 | −$951.94 |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.5k |
| Commanders vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 22.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.15 |
| Louisville vs. Ole Miss · Louisville | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$547.9kat 0.394England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$544.3kat 0.522Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$266.8kat 0.483Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5
- +$255.4kat 0.476Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$247.1kat 0.412Rams vs. Chargers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:44 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $15.1k |
| 09-16 23:02 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $2.8k |
| 09-16 22:42 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.64 | $34.9k |
| 09-16 22:39 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1.3k |
| 09-16 22:39 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.38 | $29.6k |
| 09-16 22:26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.67 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 22:25 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $277.55 |
| 09-16 22:21 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $6.6k |
| 09-16 22:21 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $242.46 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $7.6k |
| 09-16 22:02 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $2.7k |
| 09-16 21:52 | Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $25.3k |
| 09-16 21:52 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $122.1k |
| 09-16 21:52 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $34.2k |
| 09-16 21:52 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.67 | $3.6k |