0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185
0x3dfb153c197d4c19d3b31c1ecd2c7b6860eeabaf
- Realised P&L
- $-4.74M
- Volume
- $251.43M
- Markets traded
- 3,706
- Open portfolio
- $317.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,706
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills | 0.460 | 1.000 | $94.0k | +$50.7k |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.510 | 1.000 | $50.0k | +$24.5k |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Broncos | 0.535 | 0.545 | $37.3k | +$675.85 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5 · Over | 0.533 | 0.545 | $32.9k | +$713.06 |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.435 | $28.3k | −$7.5k |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) · Bills | 0.560 | 1.000 | $25.5k | +$11.2k |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.490 | 0.495 | $17.3k | +$175.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.485 | $17.0k | −$174.97 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: 1H O/U 25.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.526 | $7.4k | +$1.2k |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.280 | 0.250 | $5.7k | −$683.38 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders · Eagles | 0.290 | 0.295 | $763.10 | +$12.93 |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.015 | $487.80 | −$487.80 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · No | 0.240 | 0.987 | $234.28 | +$177.31 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Bears | 0.530 | 0.535 | $224.70 | +$2.10 |
| Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.505 | $200.64 | +$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$547.9kat 0.394England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$544.3kat 0.522Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$266.8kat 0.483Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5
- +$255.4kat 0.476Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$247.1kat 0.412Rams vs. Chargers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:09 | Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $821.70 |
| 11-01 16:10 | Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 08:14 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $610.23 |
| 11-01 05:23 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $24.2k |
| 11-01 03:48 | Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $87.00 |
| 11-01 00:07 | Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $9.80 |
| 10-31 23:35 | Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $7.1k |
| 10-31 23:29 | Mississippi State vs. Texas: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $8.0k |
| 10-31 23:28 | Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $2.9k |
| 10-31 22:47 | Spread: Texas (-20.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $17.74 |
| 10-31 20:16 | South Carolina vs. Oklahoma: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $2.4k |
| 10-31 20:04 | Minnesota vs. Indiana: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $522.24 |
| 10-31 19:30 | Minnesota vs. Indiana: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $32.24 |
| 10-31 19:26 | Spread: Utah State (-10.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $121.00 |
| 10-31 19:19 | Spread: Indiana (-20.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.6k |