testmesdae2
0x3df6691c0447d5585c01035e86ef9667c3e56623
- Realised P&L
- $1.38
- Volume
- $170.00
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $79.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 10? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 10? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10? · No | 0.960 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10? · No | 0.992 | 0.999 | $9.98 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.09at 0.782Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.10at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6?
- +$0.05at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or below on October 9?
- +$0.05at 0.995Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7?
- +$0.05at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 10-10 01:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 10-10 00:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 10? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 10-10 00:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 10-08 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 10-07 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be 77°F or below on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-15 17:04 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.773 | $3.87 |