0x3df566ba47d7ab269408b284f8f7a0096bf3d05e
- Realised P&L
- $-144.14
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $511.19 | +$112.46 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February? · No | 0.949 | 1.000 | $173.23 | +$8.88 |
| Will Serghei Spivac win by KO or TKO? · No | 0.930 | 1.000 | $162.52 | +$11.38 |
| Will Torino be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? · No | 0.936 | 1.000 | $137.52 | +$8.80 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.935 | 1.000 | $36.40 | +$2.38 |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.072 | $3.94 | −$1.48 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $2.16 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.49at 0.100SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
- +$5.14at 0.140Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$0.21at 0.840Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
- +$0.17at 0.890Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?
- +$0.10at 0.950Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-20 20:00 | Will Torino be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? | SELL | 0.94 | $17.01 |
| 02-20 20:00 | Will Trump say "Statuary marble" in February? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.66 |
| 02-20 20:00 | Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio? | SELL | 0.893 | $8.92 |
| 02-20 19:59 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.43 |
| 02-20 19:59 | Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.58 |
| 02-20 19:55 | Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.13 |
| 02-20 19:55 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? | SELL | 0.68 | $12.24 |
| 02-20 19:54 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | SELL | 0.86 | $23.84 |
| 02-20 19:54 | Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February? | SELL | 0.961 | $2.14 |
| 02-20 19:54 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of February? | SELL | 0.832 | $1.40 |
| 02-20 19:54 | Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.56 |
| 02-20 19:54 | Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.80 |
| 02-20 19:54 | Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.52 |
| 02-20 19:53 | Will Ethena reach $0.16 in February? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 02-20 19:53 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of February 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.20 |