tony--2912
0x3df25a244ab4756201104f47249012a8d64e98a3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.81
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $89.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.18at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$0.40at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 15?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31?
- +$0.13at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 27?
- +$0.06at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 12°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 11-01 13:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:50 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:50 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 08:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 08:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |