PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

kurochisan

0x3de1e8c920ddb64d4cb67cc7c4bb2b295bc568b8

Realised P&L
$-120.38
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$320.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7500.745$149.00−$1.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7200.745$71.40+$2.40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3620.325$58.42−$6.72
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.4300.445$41.40+$1.40
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3200.000$0.00−$3.20
Dota 2: Daxak Team vs iLTW TEAM (BO3) - Fonbet Media Eleague Group Stage · Daxak Team0.3840.000$0.00−$22.15
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 5PM ET · Down0.1110.000$0.00−$11.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage · GenOne0.4900.000$0.00−$18.62
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Lavked (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs · Lavked0.3000.000$0.00−$29.40
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas · Marko Topo0.3100.000$0.00−$23.73
Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren · Daniel Michalski0.1800.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00
Cardinals vs. Cowboys · Cowboys0.8700.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 16:09Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5750127$22.64
11-02 16:07Dota 2: Daxak Team vs iLTW TEAM (BO3) - Fonbet Media Eleague Group StageBUY0.4199999885$11.65
11-02 16:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.31$9.92
11-02 14:33Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.5099999516$2.00
11-02 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSELL0.92$2.66
11-02 14:31Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.6899999345$2.00
11-02 12:30Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSELL0.54$1.31
11-02 12:29Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.4099998975$1.00
11-02 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
11-02 12:27Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSELL0.42$3.87
11-02 12:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.2299999517$1.00
11-02 12:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.4099999816$2.00
11-02 12:22Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSELL0.18$0.69
11-02 12:21Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.2599999896$1.00
11-02 12:21Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.649999805$1.00