PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

HexFragLord

0x3dd8444ede5439a194a49f0440009db5eb718c69

Realised P&L
$-494.84
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$119.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 00:38Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
06-29 00:38Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.559$5.19
06-29 00:37Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-29 00:37Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
06-29 00:36Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-29 00:35Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.08$2.22
06-29 00:35Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.019$4.32
06-29 00:34Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.0889999923$10.00
06-29 00:33Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1176737479$10.00
06-29 00:33Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
06-29 00:33Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.16$10.00
06-29 00:33Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-15 01:50Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0778678625$75.00
06-15 01:49Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.076327097$20.00
06-15 01:46Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0759999867$5.00