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Traders

HexFragLord

0x3dd8444ede5439a194a49f0440009db5eb718c69

Realised P&L
$-531.56
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$82.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0770.046$60.03$39.97
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1600.125$7.81$2.19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2540.162$6.36$3.64
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1210.022$2.78$12.22
Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0890.021$2.36$7.64
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1400.022$1.61$8.39
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1700.013$0.79$9.21
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0710.005$0.77$9.23
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$3.00
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? · No0.3980.000$0.00$1.49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first? · 120k0.4620.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in October? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 00:38Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
06-29 00:38Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.559$5.19
06-29 00:37Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-29 00:37Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
06-29 00:36Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-29 00:35Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.08$2.22
06-29 00:35Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.019$4.32
06-29 00:34Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.0889999923$10.00
06-29 00:33Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1176737479$10.00
06-29 00:33Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
06-29 00:33Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.16$10.00
06-29 00:33Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-15 01:50Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0778678625$75.00
06-15 01:49Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.076327097$20.00
06-15 01:46Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0759999867$5.00