fri3dch1cken
0x3dd4ba9f9aa3b9de1ce743bf8c4ba4c86ac21b50
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $2.13M
- Markets traded
- 8,329
- Open portfolio
- $781.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,329
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.480 | 0.505 | $107.56 | +$5.33 |
| Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.570 | 0.575 | $103.50 | +$0.90 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.570 | 0.565 | $102.83 | −$0.91 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.590 | 0.605 | $96.80 | +$2.40 |
| Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Washington Nationals | 0.430 | 0.445 | $96.56 | +$3.26 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Atlanta Braves | 0.440 | 0.425 | $91.80 | −$3.24 |
| New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · New York Yankees | 0.510 | 0.485 | $85.84 | −$4.42 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.600 | 0.605 | $75.01 | +$0.62 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Chicago Cubs | 0.600 | 0.595 | $22.02 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.087Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?
- +$3.7kat 0.100Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?
- +$2.8kat 0.080Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?
- +$2.7kat 0.330Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?
- +$2.5kat 0.110Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:43 | Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.57 | $102.60 |
| 09-20 08:14 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.51 | $90.27 |
| 09-20 08:13 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.43 | $75.24 |
| 09-20 08:13 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.44 | $95.04 |
| 09-20 08:12 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.48 | $83.36 |
| 09-16 18:25 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6 | $29.10 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.45 | $43.20 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.45 | $111.15 |
| 09-16 17:03 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.66 | $149.81 |
| 09-16 17:02 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.61 | $128.10 |
| 09-16 16:25 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.61 | $131.15 |
| 09-16 08:38 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.44 | $48.87 |
| 09-15 18:23 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5799999985 | $79.53 |
| 09-15 18:22 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.69 | $178.02 |
| 09-15 18:21 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.68 | $146.20 |