paspor
0x3dd2db2d398ff72c2c71c9ad6473368b941e9ab1
- Realised P&L
- $41.1k
- Volume
- $14.35M
- Markets traded
- 41,385
- Open portfolio
- $258.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded41,385
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.5kat 0.628Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$13.4kat 0.341Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$9.4kat 0.682Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
- +$6.1kat 0.949Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$5.6kat 0.667Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:10 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 09:03 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.9244313291 | $146.06 |
| 11-01 08:57 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 11-01 08:49 | Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.19 |
| 11-01 04:54 | Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.39 |
| 11-01 04:29 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on November 1? | BUY | 0.98988175 | $79.19 |
| 11-01 04:29 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $79.20 |
| 11-01 03:53 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on November 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.45 |
| 11-01 03:53 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 11-01 03:28 | Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.90 |
| 11-01 03:07 | Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.88 |
| 11-01 03:07 | Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.88 |
| 11-01 03:07 | Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.89 |
| 11-01 03:07 | Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.88 |
| 11-01 03:07 | Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.88 |