0x3dd1cF0515aF12542488aF04388404Fb056e557E-1777227435219
0x3dd1cf0515af12542488af04388404fb056e557e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $899.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,440
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,440
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.091Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?
- +$1.0kat 0.086Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?
- +$852.61at 0.128Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 11?
- +$662.70at 0.104Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 22?
- +$647.17at 0.081Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.9734753846 | $12.66 |
| 11-02 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.42 |
| 11-02 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.688 | $17.20 |
| 11-02 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.959 | $4.79 |
| 11-02 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $11.75 |
| 11-02 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 11-02 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 11-02 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 11-02 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 11-02 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.981 | $5.06 |
| 11-02 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-02 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.779 | $35.83 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.9547826087 | $43.92 |
| 11-01 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.044 | $0.35 |