PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3dd1cF0515aF12542488aF04388404Fb056e557E-1777227435219

0x3dd1cf0515af12542488af04388404fb056e557e

Realised P&L
$7.7k
Volume
$638.8k
Markets traded
4,483
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,483
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 17? · No0.9721.000$260.87+$7.16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17? · No0.3961.000$177.91+$107.39
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.5351.000$177.30+$82.35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17? · No0.6811.000$175.91+$55.97
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 17? · No0.8931.000$170.91+$18.13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.6491.000$148.62+$52.10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? · No0.6290.995$147.26+$54.09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 17? · No0.7280.998$145.63+$39.39
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17? · No0.8181.000$129.93+$23.62
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? · No0.5311.000$128.94+$60.43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 18? · No0.9700.970$120.28+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 17? · No0.9201.000$118.94+$9.42
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on September 17? · No0.8281.000$118.93+$20.44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18? · No0.7280.800$104.00+$9.36
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 17? · No0.8601.000$99.95+$13.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:33Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?BUY0.3590666667$5.39
09-18 00:33Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.80468$12.07
09-17 23:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.84$4.20
09-17 23:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?BUY0.04$0.80
09-17 23:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?BUY0.04$0.80
09-17 23:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.47548$2.38
09-17 23:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18?BUY0.98$4.90
09-17 23:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18?BUY0.98$4.90
09-17 23:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.47$2.35
09-17 23:52Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18?BUY0.98$4.90
09-17 23:52Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.47$2.35
09-17 23:32Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.74238$14.85
09-17 23:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18?BUY0.98$4.90
09-17 23:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.53$2.65
09-17 23:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.53$12.19