0x3dd1cF0515aF12542488aF04388404Fb056e557E-1777227435219
0x3dd1cf0515af12542488af04388404fb056e557e
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $252.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,167
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,167
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.101Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?
- +$640.00at 0.091Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?
- +$591.67at 0.205Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?
- +$466.45at 0.226Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 23?
- +$427.35at 0.519Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.202 | $2.02 |
| 08-03 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.265 | $2.12 |
| 08-03 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.265 | $1.33 |
| 08-03 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.327 | $10.46 |
| 08-03 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.163 | $1.14 |
| 08-03 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.92 |
| 08-03 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.093 | $0.93 |
| 08-03 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 08-03 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.706 | $3.53 |
| 08-03 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.4133523299 | $12.33 |
| 08-03 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 08-03 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 08-03 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.405 | $4.05 |
| 08-03 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |