PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3dd1cF0515aF12542488aF04388404Fb056e557E-1777227435219

0x3dd1cf0515af12542488af04388404fb056e557e

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$252.5k
Markets traded
2,167
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,167
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3? · Yes0.3440.996$407.42+$266.73
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3? · No0.8001.000$314.34+$62.61
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? · No0.6571.000$304.85+$104.39
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 3? · No0.8320.998$281.43+$46.71
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3? · No0.8141.000$272.86+$50.70
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.3320.995$271.14+$180.64
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? · No0.4211.000$225.72+$130.60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3? · No0.9441.000$217.89+$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 3? · No0.7630.999$180.73+$42.52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 3? · Yes0.0930.999$156.76+$142.10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3? · No0.8571.000$155.91+$22.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3? · No0.5881.000$144.93+$59.64
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.9120.997$136.52+$11.54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? · No0.7770.810$124.74+$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? · No0.7870.795$121.64+$1.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.202$2.02
08-03 22:33Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.265$2.12
08-03 22:33Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.265$1.33
08-03 22:32Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.327$10.46
08-03 22:32Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.163$1.14
08-03 22:15Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.32$1.92
08-03 22:08Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.093$0.93
08-03 22:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.79$39.50
08-03 21:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.706$3.53
08-03 21:53Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.4133523299$12.33
08-03 21:53Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.41$4.10
08-03 21:53Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.41$4.10
08-03 21:53Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.405$4.05
08-03 21:53Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.4$4.00
08-03 21:52Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.4$4.00