0x3dd1cF0515aF12542488aF04388404Fb056e557E-1777227435219
0x3dd1cf0515af12542488af04388404fb056e557e
- Realised P&L
- $7.7k
- Volume
- $638.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,483
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,483
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.091Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?
- +$1.0kat 0.101Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?
- +$852.61at 0.128Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 11?
- +$662.70at 0.104Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 22?
- +$640.00at 0.091Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.3590666667 | $5.39 |
| 09-18 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.80468 | $12.07 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-17 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-17 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-17 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.47548 | $2.38 |
| 09-17 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-17 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-17 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-17 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.74238 | $14.85 |
| 09-17 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-17 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-17 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.53 | $12.19 |