Sly
0x3dd1392bf6549ddfc726de2f1807d99c3905ac3f
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $189.9k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $53.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.028Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$380.02at 0.712Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$251.53at 0.520US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$180.36at 0.013Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$169.81at 0.360Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:59 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $11.67 |
| 08-01 21:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 08-01 20:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 23:10 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 07-18 22:55 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.981 | $117.72 |
| 07-18 22:50 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.038 | $5.87 |
| 07-18 22:13 | Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $83.17 |
| 07-18 22:11 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $351.57 |
| 07-18 22:08 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 07-18 22:06 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 07-09 21:14 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-09 21:13 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.834 | $16.68 |
| 07-09 21:05 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.605 | $42.35 |
| 07-09 21:04 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $19.48 |
| 02-20 19:26 | Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $903.16 |