PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3Dcc1810E77583FfbAC03d4E418df3592cBF9D1B-1770485052444

0x3dcc1810e77583ffbac03d4e418df3592cbf9d1b

Realised P&L
$-751.73
Volume
$25.6k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$82.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.2150.145$82.74−$40.25
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$5.14
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$2.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.3710.000$0.00−$4.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$4.00
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 17:28Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.2199999995$63.00
10-03 17:28Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.2193825897$7.00
10-03 17:27Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.28$77.78
10-03 17:27Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.007$0.24
10-03 17:24Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.2099999995$53.00
10-03 17:23Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?SELL0.1607876083$61.24
09-26 20:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-26 20:12Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?BUY0.05$50.00
09-26 20:10Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.262533035$100.00
09-25 18:10Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.6619900715$90.68
09-24 21:19Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.73$100.00
09-24 20:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL0.99$22.25
09-24 20:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.8899999996$20.00
09-24 20:46Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL0.34$2.19
09-24 20:45Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.6199999907$4.00