0x3Dcc1810E77583FfbAC03d4E418df3592cBF9D1B-1770485052444
0x3dcc1810e77583ffbac03d4e418df3592cbf9d1b
- Realised P&L
- $-751.73
- Volume
- $25.6k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $82.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.19at 0.600Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$82.83at 0.260Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$55.54at 0.130US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$9.28at 0.420Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 20?
- +$0.39at 0.932Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:28 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999995 | $63.00 |
| 10-03 17:28 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2193825897 | $7.00 |
| 10-03 17:27 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.28 | $77.78 |
| 10-03 17:27 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.24 |
| 10-03 17:24 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $53.00 |
| 10-03 17:23 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | SELL | 0.1607876083 | $61.24 |
| 09-26 20:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 20:12 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 20:10 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.262533035 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 18:10 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.6619900715 | $90.68 |
| 09-24 21:19 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $22.25 |
| 09-24 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 20:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $2.19 |
| 09-24 20:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $4.00 |