PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CAGKaLeung

0x3dc947aa565d97c67af5557ca402bee4079c0e6e

Realised P&L
$53.7k
Volume
$386.8k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$32.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP dip to $1.00 September 21-27? · No0.9970.977$5.11$0.11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 21-27? · No0.9940.987$4.07$0.03
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 21-27? · No0.9950.995$3.37+$0.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 21-27? · No0.9950.992$3.11$0.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27? · No0.9990.996$3.04$0.01
Will XRP dip to $0.80 September 21-27? · No0.9980.988$2.99$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 21-27? · No0.9950.994$2.77$0.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 21-27? · No0.9950.990$2.24$0.01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 21-27? · No0.9980.995$2.04$0.01
Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 21-27? · No0.9990.995$2.01$0.01
Will XRP dip to $0.90 September 21-27? · No0.9980.986$1.65$0.02
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00$19.07
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · No0.8500.000$0.00$106.21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · No0.9730.000$0.00$20.00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.6730.000$0.00$8.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:45Will XRP dip to $1.00 September 21-27?BUY0.9969999996$5.22
09-22 12:45Will XRP dip to $0.90 September 21-27?BUY0.998$1.67
09-22 12:45Will XRP dip to $0.80 September 21-27?BUY0.998$3.02
09-22 12:45Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 21-27?BUY0.999$2.02
09-22 12:45Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9949998071$3.12
09-22 12:45Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9949998563$2.77
09-22 12:45Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27?BUY0.999$3.05
09-22 12:45Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 21-27?BUY0.995$2.25
09-22 12:44Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 21-27?BUY0.993999999$4.10
09-22 12:44Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 21-27?BUY0.998$2.05
09-22 12:44Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 21-27?BUY0.994999904$3.37
07-12 13:18France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5999999937$19.07
06-14 13:09Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao?BUY0.998$19.49
05-19 15:33Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?BUY0.999$19.47
05-10 13:52Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on May 12?BUY0.9849999985$6.77