umasoldout
0x3dc4843f1f92628798b945f095290c83514703f6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $142.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · No | 0.409 | 0.342 | $108.31 | −$21.21 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.025 | $25.92 | −$74.08 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.028 | $7.97 | −$14.93 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 11:06 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.078999997 | $22.90 |
| 05-04 10:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY | 0.1323803896 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 08:37 | OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | BUY | 0.4506269577 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 16:35 | James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | BUY | 0.0983957556 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 16:35 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.0773762232 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 16:32 | OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 04-30 11:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.1074934672 | $1000.00 |
| 04-30 11:34 | OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 04-28 20:33 | Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |