0x3Dc2d069053516C221f9F10E1F227C159BdD48a9-1771841973641
0x3dc2d069053516c221f9f10e1f227c159bdd48a9
- Realised P&L
- $97.61
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $142.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.00at 0.350Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$170.07at 0.611Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner
- +$139.27at 0.512Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?
- +$124.54at 0.546Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
- +$118.49at 0.940Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:16 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 13:00 | LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 10-29 01:52 | Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9010268576 | $232.83 |
| 10-28 09:44 | Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4364705882 | $74.20 |
| 10-28 09:43 | Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 07-16 14:48 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 07-16 01:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $5.45 |
| 07-16 01:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 19:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.185 | $81.34 |
| 06-18 18:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.118 | $148.94 |
| 05-10 22:17 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 03-13 09:45 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 15:47 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.50 |
| 03-08 20:12 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.58 | $6.38 |
| 03-08 19:30 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.33 | $3.60 |