PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3Dc2d069053516C221f9F10E1F227C159BdD48a9-1771841973641

0x3dc2d069053516c221f9f10e1f227c159bdd48a9

Realised P&L
$97.61
Volume
$27.9k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$142.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4360.948$142.13+$76.65
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00−$75.80
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner · Team Falcons0.4230.000$0.00−$131.10
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · LOS0.2600.000$0.00−$13.00
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$68.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$74.47
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Team Falcons0.4750.000$0.00−$204.76
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.0130.000$0.00−$40.20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · Movistar KOI0.0500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner · Yellow Submarine0.5200.000$0.00−$52.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:16LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.09$9.00
10-31 13:00LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.26$26.00
10-29 01:52Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9010268576$232.83
10-28 09:44Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4364705882$74.20
10-28 09:43Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9$90.00
07-16 14:48Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.9$9.00
07-16 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSELL0.95$5.45
07-16 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.8699999983$5.00
07-14 19:34Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.185$81.34
06-18 18:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.118$148.94
05-10 22:17Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?BUY0.09$1.80
03-13 09:45Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.001$1.00
03-10 15:47Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.003$4.50
03-08 20:12Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.58$6.38
03-08 19:30Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSELL0.33$3.60