345thunder
0x3daf770f867ae3f4c751abc4bda263834f238aeb
- Realised P&L
- $-611.97
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $64.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.510 | $64.42 | −$6.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.89at 0.502Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$63.18at 0.500Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$62.42at 0.500Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$0.10at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?
- +$0.02at 0.999Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.75 |
| 09-22 02:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.56 | $76.49 |
| 09-21 16:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.4 | $105.17 |
| 09-16 11:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.52 | $15.33 |
| 09-16 10:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.53 | $318.84 |
| 09-14 23:43 | Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-22? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.93 |
| 09-14 23:08 | Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.49 | $202.59 |
| 09-11 10:03 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.58 | $26.09 |
| 09-11 09:32 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.59 | $472.99 |
| 06-11 04:01 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $65.33 |
| 06-11 03:53 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.997 | $11.39 |
| 06-11 03:45 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.41 |
| 06-11 03:34 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.40 |
| 06-11 03:27 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.09 |
| 06-11 03:18 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.60 |