PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3dab2643f5a1587bbf8efcd66e0477f4b78e43bf

Realised P&L
$4.96
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
685
Open portfolio
$16.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded685
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20? · No0.9100.905$16.29$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20?BUY0.91$16.38
09-16 10:53Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16?SELL0.1$1.20
09-15 01:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.88$10.56
09-14 13:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14?SELL0.26$0.88
09-13 10:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14?BUY0.92$11.04
09-12 06:13Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?SELL0.04$0.48
08-31 20:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 1?SELL0.2$4.09
08-30 00:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 31?BUY0.92$4.60
08-29 06:52Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on August 29?SELL0.993$4.96
08-29 06:52Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on August 29?SELL0.993$11.92
08-28 13:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 28?SELL0.03$0.01
08-28 05:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 28?BUY0.927$24.10
08-28 04:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?BUY0.979$11.75
08-26 15:45Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 26?SELL0.998$6.99
08-25 15:00Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 26?BUY0.94$11.28