0x3dab2643f5a1587bbf8efcd66e0477f4b78e43bf
- Realised P&L
- $4.96
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 685
- Open portfolio
- $16.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded685
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $16.29 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.40at 0.909Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$5.98at 0.717Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$5.84at 0.709Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$5.64at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$5.59at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $16.38 |
| 09-16 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.56 |
| 09-14 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.88 |
| 09-13 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.04 |
| 09-12 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.48 |
| 08-31 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.09 |
| 08-30 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-29 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on August 29? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 08-29 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on August 29? | SELL | 0.993 | $11.92 |
| 08-28 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 28? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.01 |
| 08-28 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.927 | $24.10 |
| 08-28 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.979 | $11.75 |
| 08-26 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.99 |
| 08-25 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.28 |