PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

carelia

0x3da80ca893666957475095ac1504094df93dbe26

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$764.2k
Markets traded
15,661
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15,661
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 62.5 · Over0.2501.000$79.96+$59.96
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5) · Celtics0.5200.996$79.68+$38.08
Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls O/U 2.5 · Under0.8900.935$74.80+$3.60
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No0.8450.923$73.84+$6.24
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 · Under0.7900.790$63.20+$0.00
Noah Gray: Receptions O/U 1.5 · Under0.5100.785$62.80+$22.00
Royal Charleroi SC vs. RAAL La Louviere: Royal Charleroi SC O/U 1.5 · Over0.5701.000$41.44+$17.82
Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José: O/U 2.5 · Over0.7301.000$39.98+$10.78
CS Marítimo vs. CD Santa Clara: CS Marítimo O/U 0.5 · Under0.3701.000$39.98+$25.18
SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score · No0.5601.000$39.98+$17.58
Will KAS Eupen vs. Royal Excelsior Virton end in a draw? · No0.7901.000$39.98+$8.38
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5) · Wildcard0.5300.995$39.80+$18.60
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Juventus FC O/U 4.5 Corners · Over0.5900.995$39.80+$16.20
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.4300.995$39.22+$22.27
Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown · Yes0.2900.475$38.00+$14.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 22:39Will Real Salt Lake vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?BUY0.25$12.50
09-24 14:43Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSELL0.4$1.18
09-23 20:52Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)BUY0.42$21.00
09-23 20:36Rams vs. BroncosBUY0.57$28.50
09-23 03:25Australia A Women Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A Women vs Australia A WomenSELL0.32$9.85
09-22 23:28Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)BUY0.62$31.00
09-22 21:04New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5BUY0.46$23.00
09-22 18:51Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5BUY0.4$20.00
09-22 18:18Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5BUY0.5$25.00
09-22 18:01Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.3$2.10
09-22 17:29Genoa 2: Luka Mikrut vs Kimmer CoppejansBUY0.33$16.50
09-22 17:09Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca CadenassoSELL0.41$24.07
09-22 15:23Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.26$13.00
09-22 11:53FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.22$11.00
09-22 06:43Oilers vs. CanucksBUY0.51$3.57