ghostviolet
0x3da617e9f3778d86ad172d22dbc93409c2969ac4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $296.9k
- Markets traded
- 747
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded747
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.327Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$361.58at 0.898Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$332.78at 0.748Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$269.01at 0.815Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$255.20at 0.426Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:51 | Will Lebanon win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.934 | $8.33 |
| 10-01 05:23 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.01 |
| 10-01 04:07 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 10-01 02:35 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.59 |
| 10-01 02:32 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.84 |
| 10-01 02:11 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 10-01 01:29 | Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.27 | $7.38 |
| 10-01 01:02 | Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-30 19:32 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $7.07 |
| 09-30 19:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $9.58 |
| 09-30 19:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.66 | $9.43 |
| 09-30 15:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $8.86 |
| 09-30 15:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-30 12:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.825 | $2.33 |