PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

neophyt

0x3da3958abf6ec9cbab635824447e5e0c24fc0fdc

Realised P&L
$8.6k
Volume
$1.23M
Markets traded
5,021
Open portfolio
$27.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,021
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0600.065$6.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 19? · Yes0.0200.030$6.00+$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20? · Yes0.0620.060$5.40$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 20? · Yes0.0100.020$2.00+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 19? · Yes0.0050.013$1.47+$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.0100.005$1.00$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 19? · Yes0.0600.020$0.83$1.66
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 19? · Yes0.0050.004$0.70$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.0050.003$0.60$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 19? · Yes0.0100.006$0.60$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.0400.015$0.60$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 19? · Yes0.0100.005$0.52$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.0050.003$0.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.0400.035$0.17$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 19? · Yes0.0400.015$0.07$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 19?SELL0.14$4.20
09-18 18:09Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 19?BUY0.02$4.00
09-18 18:05Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 19?SELL0.15$1.50
09-18 07:47Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20?BUY0.08$1.60
09-18 07:46Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20?BUY0.07$1.40
09-18 07:46Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20?BUY0.06$1.20
09-18 07:46Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20?BUY0.045$1.35
09-18 07:40Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 20?BUY0.0106$0.53
09-18 07:13Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.0143125$0.23
09-18 06:23Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.06$2.49
09-18 06:17Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 18?BUY0.001$0.01
09-17 13:34Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.001$0.23
09-17 13:33Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.04$3.46
09-17 13:32Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.02$2.41
09-17 13:26Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.01$0.85