neophyt
0x3da3958abf6ec9cbab635824447e5e0c24fc0fdc
- Realised P&L
- $8.5k
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Markets traded
- 4,032
- Open portfolio
- $34.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,032
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$990.65at 0.009Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 16?
- +$981.98at 0.018Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 19?
- +$970.87at 0.029Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or below on August 20?
- +$791.34at 0.031Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 20?
- +$597.10at 0.107Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-01 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-01 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.11 |
| 07-31 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.98 |
| 07-31 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1169289827 | $3.05 |
| 07-31 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.12 |
| 07-31 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.40 |
| 07-29 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.63 |
| 07-29 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.22 |
| 07-29 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.65 |
| 07-29 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.22 |
| 07-29 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.74 |
| 07-29 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 07-29 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.40 |