neophyt
0x3da3958abf6ec9cbab635824447e5e0c24fc0fdc
- Realised P&L
- $8.6k
- Volume
- $1.23M
- Markets traded
- 5,021
- Open portfolio
- $27.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,021
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$990.65at 0.009Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 16?
- +$981.98at 0.018Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 19?
- +$970.87at 0.029Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or below on August 20?
- +$791.34at 0.031Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 20?
- +$597.10at 0.107Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 09-18 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.35 |
| 09-18 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.0106 | $0.53 |
| 09-18 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0143125 | $0.23 |
| 09-18 06:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.49 |
| 09-18 06:17 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 09-17 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.46 |
| 09-17 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.41 |
| 09-17 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.85 |