PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3d959Ba8B42DB38af10D3B8d9b551f6c2047B3Dc-1780023531632

0x3d959ba8b42db38af10d3b8d9b551f6c2047b3dc

Realised P&L
$8.05
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$21.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0240.028$11.56+$1.56
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0260.058$4.04+$2.21
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.5700.545$1.91−$0.09
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1900.245$1.29+$0.29
Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.1840.089$0.97−$1.03
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · No0.2900.265$0.91−$0.09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1900.050$0.53−$1.47
Raptors vs. Lakers · Raptors0.1700.024$0.14−$0.86
Clippers vs. Warriors · Clippers0.2030.002$0.01−$1.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.3820.000$0.00−$19.80
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$2.00
Cavaliers vs. Magic · Cavaliers0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Invictus Gaming0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets0.6300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:26Clippers vs. WarriorsBUY0.1299999948$1.00
11-02 02:37Raptors vs. LakersBUY0.1699999983$1.00
11-02 01:38Clippers vs. WarriorsBUY0.4599997976$1.00
11-01 02:27Timberwolves vs. SpursSELL0.999$2.70
11-01 02:27Cavaliers vs. BucksSELL0.999$1.29
11-01 02:27Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
11-01 02:26Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
11-01 02:26LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.5699999886$2.00
11-01 00:57Timberwolves vs. SpursBUY0.7399999186$2.00
11-01 00:33Cavaliers vs. BucksBUY0.77$1.00
10-31 16:44Hawks vs. PelicansBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-31 16:43Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.5699999886$2.00
10-31 16:42LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.77$2.00
10-31 01:29Knicks vs. 76ersBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-31 01:10Magic vs. RaptorsBUY0.6599997888$1.00