0x3d8dae5baa9a10915109e41ae1e719828434a7e9
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 844
- Open portfolio
- $21.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded844
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$619.71at 0.011Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
- +$68.53at 0.030Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 15?
- +$29.81at 0.096Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18?
- +$25.05at 0.087Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?
- +$15.88at 0.117Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 19:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0038095238 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 19:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 19:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.98 |
| 11-02 19:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 3? | BUY | 0.0027707129 | $7.19 |
| 11-02 15:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 11-02 15:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 11-02 13:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 11-02 13:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.87 |
| 11-02 11:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 11-02 11:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 11-02 06:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 11-02 00:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $16.79 |
| 11-01 22:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 11-01 20:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.35 |