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Traders

jonathanew

0x3d89aa6822ab4ec281870848b8b3df40c2bb783b

Realised P&L
$70.49
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$574.90

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? · No0.6861.000$54.63+$17.11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25? · No0.6751.000$52.70+$17.10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26? · No0.9960.996$39.82−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 25? · No0.9590.975$38.22+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25? · No0.7211.000$37.31+$10.38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.4561.000$21.24+$11.54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 25? · No0.6471.000$21.17+$7.46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 25? · No0.5501.000$19.99+$8.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26? · No0.9700.980$19.60+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 26? · No0.9600.935$18.70−$0.50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 26? · No0.9670.955$18.19−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.2800.999$17.22+$12.40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 25? · No0.6830.750$16.39+$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26? · No0.7400.745$14.90+$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 25? · No0.6500.840$14.16+$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:04Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 26?BUY0.96$19.20
09-24 21:04Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26?BUY0.996$39.84
09-24 21:04Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 26?BUY0.96$4.80
09-24 21:04Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 26?BUY0.94$13.16
09-24 21:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 26?BUY0.97$13.40
09-24 21:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.97$19.40
09-24 21:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.9673755388$18.43
09-24 21:04Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 26?BUY0.39$7.80
09-24 21:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 25?BUY0.96$37.44
09-23 21:33Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?BUY0.999$9.99
08-02 18:41BNB Up or Down - August 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.9$4.60
08-02 15:46BNB Up or Down - August 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.81$4.05
08-01 19:02Solana Up or Down - August 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.8099999881$4.10
08-01 18:56Solana Up or Down - August 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.7699999943$4.05
08-01 18:46Solana Up or Down - August 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.8399999766$4.30
Trader jonathanew · PolyBot Pro