jonathanew
0x3d89aa6822ab4ec281870848b8b3df40c2bb783b
- Realised P&L
- $70.49
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $574.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.32at 0.626Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$5.03at 0.181Solana Up or Down - July 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$4.23at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$3.61at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.84 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.94 | $13.16 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.40 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9673755388 | $18.43 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-24 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $37.44 |
| 09-23 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-02 18:41 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.60 |
| 08-02 15:46 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 08-01 19:02 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999881 | $4.10 |
| 08-01 18:56 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999943 | $4.05 |
| 08-01 18:46 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999766 | $4.30 |