0x3d895d96df25f23c382694c919b6caa55fb4df3a
0x3d895d96df25f23c382694c919b6caa55fb4df3a
- Realised P&L
- $-120.41
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $93.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.075 | $82.92 | −$116.08 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.038 | $10.52 | +$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.76at 0.361Michael Olise: 1+ assists
- +$12.90at 0.235Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$-2.98at 0.083Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
- +$-2.98at 0.153Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
- +$-3.00at 0.009Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 08:48 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0361264973 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 21:45 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 14:39 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $19.16 |
| 10-03 08:34 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1008135894 | $3.83 |
| 08-22 19:13 | Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999753 | $2.85 |
| 08-22 05:33 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $199.00 |
| 08-01 18:15 | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.24 | $19.17 |
| 08-01 17:09 | UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5499999965 | $38.92 |
| 07-19 09:04 | Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.09 | $6.66 |
| 07-18 22:34 | Michael Olise: 1+ assists | SELL | 0.993 | $54.66 |
| 07-18 20:43 | Michael Olise: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.3499999936 | $19.27 |
| 07-07 21:17 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.88 |
| 07-06 21:19 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.229999961 | $3.89 |
| 06-24 20:38 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.148999959 | $2.91 |
| 06-12 20:56 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.61 |