Xifgvfgffgrtfgftfg
0x3d81755db8cb7b3fdcb23d7d0bc40de9b453e546
- Realised P&L
- $-17.98
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $3.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.975 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will DoorDash acquire Instacart in 2026? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.705 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.01at 0.749Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
- +$0.35at 0.920Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
- +$0.34at 0.920Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?
- +$0.26at 0.870Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
- +$0.20at 0.900Will Stade Brestois beat Bayer Leverkusen?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:04 | Will DoorDash acquire Instacart in 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:03 | Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9289780592 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:02 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.9958294966 | $449.02 |
| 10-29 07:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981430076 | $414.68 |
| 10-29 07:01 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.95 |
| 10-28 07:13 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 07:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999983 | $420.00 |
| 10-28 07:10 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $450.00 |
| 06-01 05:44 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $150.15 |
| 06-01 05:44 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $129.87 |
| 06-01 05:44 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.991 | $68.99 |
| 05-30 07:52 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $69.00 |
| 05-30 07:51 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $150.00 |
| 05-30 07:51 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $149.55 |
| 05-30 07:51 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $150.00 |