PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Xifgvfgffgrtfgftfg

0x3d81755db8cb7b3fdcb23d7d0bc40de9b453e546

Realised P&L
$-17.98
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$3.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9200.975$2.12+$0.12
Will DoorDash acquire Instacart in 2026? · Yes0.9971.000$1.00+$0.00
Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.9290.705$0.76−$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:04Will DoorDash acquire Instacart in 2026?BUY0.997$1.00
10-29 07:03Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.9289780592$1.00
10-29 07:02Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.9958294966$449.02
10-29 07:02Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.981430076$414.68
10-29 07:01Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.998$49.95
10-28 07:13Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$50.00
10-28 07:12Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9939999983$420.00
10-28 07:10Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.998$450.00
06-01 05:44Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.997$150.15
06-01 05:44Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.997$129.87
06-01 05:44Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.991$68.99
05-30 07:52Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9909999999$69.00
05-30 07:51Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.998$150.00
05-30 07:51Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.997$149.55
05-30 07:51Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.998$150.00