zjc2004
0x3d787c1a1dbdf0dfefe37bdcd02ca4bf6dc54eff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $79.0k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.80 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.96 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.80 |
| Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.05 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.336Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$1.0kat 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$681.06at 0.622Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$611.90at 0.286Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
- +$318.76at 0.240Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:52 | Will Accrington Stanley FC vs. Northampton Town FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $301.30 |
| 10-31 16:11 | Will Accrington Stanley FC vs. Northampton Town FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $70.00 |
| 10-26 19:52 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.171999998 | $4.50 |
| 10-21 21:02 | Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $419.58 |
| 10-20 20:46 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.7213666667 | $216.41 |
| 10-20 20:37 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 10-20 20:36 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.57 |
| 10-20 20:35 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.09 | $7.61 |
| 10-20 20:34 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 20:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $55.00 |
| 10-14 20:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.04 | $11.28 |
| 10-14 19:47 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.05 | $21.75 |
| 10-06 20:31 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.0010392002 | $0.24 |
| 10-06 20:25 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.0349999999 | $8.00 |
| 10-06 20:03 | Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3210253269 | $322.33 |