ulya93
0x3d77bfad1d6078f563f3653cbf2b380a08511c54
- Realised P&L
- $186.24
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $51.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.380 | 0.170 | $51.00 | −$63.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.50at 0.610Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$21.00at 0.940Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$17.50at 0.950Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
- +$15.60at 0.961Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$15.00at 0.970Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 09:31 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.06 |
| 03-03 03:01 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $178.03 |
| 02-23 11:32 | Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7.5m and 8m? | BUY | 0.984 | $34.44 |
| 02-21 23:57 | Will "The Ballad of Wallis Island" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.97 | $209.23 |
| 02-08 03:03 | Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.961 | $9.61 |
| 01-26 06:15 | Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 2.5m? | BUY | 0.987 | $488.50 |
| 01-25 14:32 | Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 The American Express tournament? | BUY | 0.979 | $489.50 |
| 01-08 15:18 | Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9759999999 | $129.35 |
| 01-08 15:17 | Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6559636344 | $75.00 |
| 01-08 15:16 | Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9561987531 | $200.00 |
| 01-08 15:16 | Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 01-08 13:59 | Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.9208181818 | $101.29 |
| 01-08 13:59 | Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.961 | $100.96 |
| 01-08 13:58 | Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.9 | $103.60 |
| 01-08 13:58 | Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale? | SELL | 0.989 | $198.50 |