PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Xavyc3

0x3d682d09daf3747055285b0ee1b64bfc018edb93

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$245.7k
Markets traded
1,059
Open portfolio
$49.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,059
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0620.054$10.90$1.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0480.044$7.76$0.58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on August 3? · Yes0.0590.030$5.91$5.68
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes0.0410.040$4.72$0.17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on August 3? · Yes0.0580.040$4.28$1.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.5000.125$3.88$11.63
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.120$3.18$0.53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? · Yes0.1190.150$2.70+$0.56
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0240.004$1.90$11.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8? · Yes0.1700.250$1.50+$0.48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? · Yes0.0130.011$1.04$0.19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on August 3? · Yes0.0700.021$0.82$1.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0340.004$0.24$1.82
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0230.001$0.20$9.30
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0130.001$0.18$4.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?BUY0.013$0.19
08-02 10:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on August 3?BUY0.11$2.20
08-02 09:59WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on August 3?BUY0.07$2.80
08-01 16:27Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.019$1.14
08-01 16:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?BUY0.033$0.34
08-01 03:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?SELL0.03$0.48
07-31 14:36Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.535$10.70
07-31 14:08Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.847$34.72
07-31 14:06Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.6045$18.14
07-31 14:06Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.6$12.00
07-31 11:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?SELL0.59$12.98
07-31 11:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?SELL0.59$12.24
07-31 11:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?SELL0.57$15.53
07-30 01:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?BUY0.023$1.01
07-29 13:59WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on July 29?SELL0.44$2.64