stephenlyk1
0x3d670d083c0f940a42ec9e75d4cf80f9ede77dac
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $864.5k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.025Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.174Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$828.85at 0.552Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
- +$711.95at 0.512Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5
- +$637.03at 0.362Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:44 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.0k |
| 09-12 06:23 | Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $730.21 |
| 09-12 06:22 | Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-12 06:22 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.0k |
| 09-06 12:50 | Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1000.00 |
| 08-30 02:23 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $185.05 |
| 08-30 02:22 | Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3505619698 | $350.00 |
| 08-30 02:22 | Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $350.00 |
| 08-28 06:52 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $307.02 |
| 08-22 04:20 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.51 | $561.00 |
| 08-16 06:31 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.028 | $697.85 |
| 08-16 06:29 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.61 | $2.0k |
| 07-19 20:25 | Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.110619469 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 20:24 | Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1310169536 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 08:17 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999971 | $200.00 |