0x3d4e43751f3b6b6665761cd3cc618e86dac6589d
- Realised P&L
- $-262.26
- Volume
- $51.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,797
- Open portfolio
- $42.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,797
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.91at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$76.09at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$63.56at 0.492Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$53.32at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$47.95at 0.479Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3836065486 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5129047695 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |