PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NotReallySure

0x3d4556d77c616e1f88793b68c8ee5187d086020f

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$172.8k
Markets traded
2,771
Open portfolio
$33.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,771
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0800.085$21.25+$1.25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3700.385$5.78+$0.23
Jets vs. Patriots · Jets0.2500.245$4.90−$0.10
Chargers vs. Chiefs · Chargers0.1900.215$0.80+$0.09
Cardinals vs. Rams · Cardinals0.1400.145$0.34+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$3.80
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins0.3200.000$0.00−$4.80
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5) · San Francisco Giants0.2600.000$0.00−$0.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Tampa Bay Rays0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 28? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$4.29
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians · Arizona Diamondbacks0.3570.000$0.00−$7.86
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs0.1180.000$0.00−$5.90
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 9? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$4.34
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$4.40
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 8? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$4.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 23:0349ers vs. SeahawksSELL0.42$6.30
10-11 14:38Eagles vs. JaguarsSELL0.35$10.50
10-11 00:41Nevada vs. UTEPSELL0.12$3.60
10-11 00:10UAB vs. MemphisSELL0.17$5.10
10-11 00:01North Dakota State vs. UNLVSELL0.41$5.74
10-10 21:53Giants vs. CommandersBUY0.37$5.18
10-09 01:57Buccaneers vs. CowboysSELL0.35$7.00
10-05 10:25Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?SELL0.24$2.40
10-04 19:10Cardinals vs. GiantsSELL0.39$3.90
10-04 18:58Cardinals vs. GiantsBUY0.37$3.70
10-04 18:55Patriots vs. BillsSELL0.38$5.70
09-29 18:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.45$6.75
09-27 18:59Chiefs vs. DolphinsSELL0.18$4.50
09-21 21:452026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.08$20.00
09-21 21:412026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.37$5.55