KidGoku
0x3d4090e71697d2864a7f4159f9fdc9930751d6de
- Realised P&L
- $-971.00
- Volume
- $74.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $41.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.245 | $41.03 | −$69.26 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$562.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$981.09at 0.553Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$880.23at 0.718Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
- +$415.17at 0.797Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$365.33at 0.150Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$332.37at 0.790Solana above $200 on November 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 13:52 | Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999866 | $16.00 |
| 10-28 13:25 | Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 13:24 | Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026? | BUY | 0.6666666667 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 00:56 | Pistons vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.36 | $109.94 |
| 10-28 00:47 | Pistons vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3699999993 | $113.00 |
| 10-27 21:50 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.521169977 | $113.35 |
| 10-27 15:14 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3769999988 | $82.00 |
| 10-26 12:05 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.27 | $79.65 |
| 10-26 03:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | SELL | 0.096 | $0.48 |
| 10-26 03:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.092 | $0.46 |
| 10-25 23:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $95.33 |
| 10-25 22:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3149999997 | $231.00 |
| 10-25 22:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.195 | $4.75 |
| 10-25 22:09 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.47 | $226.38 |
| 10-24 15:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $420.00 |