PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3D3Cd093eF99D9d4E48F94F411A035C98f957892-1753709074590

0x3d3cd093ef99d9d4e48f94f411a035c98f957892

Realised P&L
$-850.41
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$151.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat? · Yes0.9610.950$49.37$0.60
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? · Yes0.9850.981$49.02$0.23
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.968$47.84+$0.22
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9860.995$4.28+$0.04
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · No0.9400.970$1.01+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-02 07:05Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?BUY0.45$432.00
09-03 12:43Mariners vs. RaysBUY0.44$454.08
08-20 12:25Blue Jays vs. PiratesBUY0.4$333.20
08-05 07:31Twins vs. TigersBUY0.56$291.76
07-31 12:10Rays vs. YankeesBUY0.51$193.80