0x3d3cd093ef99d9d4e48f94f411a035c98f957892
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $94.96
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.980 | $47.36 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.985 | $42.29 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.986 | 0.995 | $4.28 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.991 | $1.03 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.04at 0.360Pirates vs. Cubs
- +$577.92at 0.440Mariners vs. Rays
- +$499.80at 0.400Blue Jays vs. Pirates
- +$186.20at 0.510Rays vs. Yankees
- +$1.30at 0.979Megaquake by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-02 07:05 | Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02? | BUY | 0.45 | $432.00 |
| 09-03 12:43 | Mariners vs. Rays | BUY | 0.44 | $454.08 |
| 08-20 12:25 | Blue Jays vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.4 | $333.20 |
| 08-05 07:31 | Twins vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.56 | $291.76 |
| 07-31 12:10 | Rays vs. Yankees | BUY | 0.51 | $193.80 |