Colorlessbroadside8
0x3d3cb976f12b467eeb276a9b8750db41495c9c2d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.04
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.981 | $2.94 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.97at 0.700Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
- +$1.63at 0.750Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-23?
- +$0.16at 0.936Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16?
- +$0.04at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13?
- +$0.03at 0.983Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:32 | Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.9669999957 | $2.90 |
| 08-12 13:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.9649997192 | $1.22 |
| 08-12 13:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.9319999935 | $2.28 |
| 08-12 13:19 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9919997803 | $2.24 |
| 07-29 08:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.9819997597 | $1.79 |
| 07-29 08:13 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9859999889 | $1.07 |
| 07-29 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.66 |
| 02-12 07:51 | Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.59 |
| 02-12 07:51 | Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-02-13? | BUY | 0.2699998773 | $1.43 |
| 01-31 01:39 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.2749999217 | $2.02 |
| 01-31 01:39 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.2679999494 | $2.54 |
| 01-21 23:33 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-23? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.88 |
| 01-03 21:19 | Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.993 | $285.16 |
| 01-03 11:58 | Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.994 | $285.45 |
| 12-25 16:47 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.992 | $314.91 |