PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Colorlessbroadside8

0x3d3cb976f12b467eeb276a9b8750db41495c9c2d

Realised P&L
$-3.04
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$2.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? · Yes0.9670.981$2.94+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 21:32Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?BUY0.9669999957$2.90
08-12 13:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13?BUY0.9649997192$1.22
08-12 13:22Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16?BUY0.9319999935$2.28
08-12 13:19Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9919997803$2.24
07-29 08:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.9819997597$1.79
07-29 08:13Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.9859999889$1.07
07-29 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 1?BUY0.991$1.66
02-12 07:51Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?BUY0.7$4.59
02-12 07:51Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-02-13?BUY0.2699998773$1.43
01-31 01:39Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?BUY0.2749999217$2.02
01-31 01:39Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?BUY0.2679999494$2.54
01-21 23:33Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-23?BUY0.75$4.88
01-03 21:19Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.993$285.16
01-03 11:58Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.994$285.45
12-25 16:47Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.992$314.91